Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-15 6.767067 7.507165 8.362625 9.442476 10.796906 12.480997 14.807188
2024-12-22 5.669575 6.538741 7.621213 9.118706 11.230902 14.284624 19.482220
2024-12-29 5.148333 6.144259 7.471909 9.481362 12.698584 18.297949 31.357655
2025-01-05 4.686723 5.744718 7.234451 9.670512 14.067341 23.446915 58.307326
2025-01-12 4.191178 5.224931 6.733082 9.332872 14.459611 27.468209 115.422857
2025-01-19 3.763777 4.747857 6.220116 8.858424 14.433445 30.923378 324.266154
2025-01-26 3.639260 4.695373 6.354616 9.572347 17.495753 53.194538 NaN
2025-02-02 3.641258 4.833094 6.828238 11.148256 24.785305 244.797323 NaN
2025-02-09 3.527473 4.771842 6.948081 12.062198 32.191476 NaN NaN
2025-02-16 3.388900 4.651789 6.937604 12.687830 40.812207 NaN NaN
2025-02-23 3.236577 4.490636 6.819520 12.999222 49.921044 NaN NaN
2025-03-02 3.014552 4.188026 6.374107 12.213714 48.071757 NaN NaN
2025-03-09 2.894082 4.074331 6.345246 12.856495 68.676901 NaN NaN
2025-03-16 2.679301 3.774428 5.884955 11.958341 65.062125 NaN NaN
2025-03-23 2.566728 3.649780 5.785922 12.269905 91.313270 NaN NaN
2025-03-30 2.451300 3.509623 5.633170 12.349203 126.612464 NaN NaN
2025-04-06 2.306801 3.304723 5.310111 11.675852 123.805492 NaN NaN
2025-04-13 2.168204 3.102322 4.973640 10.868935 107.649204 NaN NaN
2025-04-20 2.133674 3.090860 5.069505 11.810526 325.229273 NaN NaN
2025-04-27 2.145820 3.168539 5.390586 14.054102 NaN NaN NaN
2025-05-04 2.110480 3.150510 5.476699 15.357369 NaN NaN NaN
2025-05-11 2.062076 3.102064 5.477100 16.244751 NaN NaN NaN
2025-05-18 2.004600 3.030633 5.405830 16.662651 NaN NaN NaN